In order to make a sound prediction on how a game will play out, it may not be a bad idea to learn how expectation works. While useful in Monte Carlo Simulation models, the general concepts of expectation can be applied to all types of forecasting methods.
Expectation is the attempt to measure what the average outcome of a statistic would be if the event(in this example, a game) was played an infinite number of times. While an overall expectation calculation can be extremely complex and sophisticated, the examples I use in this video are very basic and introductory level to help you understand what exactly calculatiing expectation entails.
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